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2026 World Cup predictions

Phase 2 · Knockout Picks

19/24 correct48pts
Picks to win it allFrance

Round of 32

2 pts each
Germany✗France✓ +2Canada✓ +2Netherlands✗Portugal✓ +2Spain✓ +2USA✓ +2Belgium✓ +2Brazil✓ +2Norway✓ +2Mexico✓ +2England✓ +2Argentina✓ +2Egypt✓ +2Switzerland✓ +2Colombia✓ +2

Round of 16

4 pts each
France✓ +4Netherlands✗Spain✓ +4Belgium✓ +4Brazil✗England✓ +4Argentina✓ +4Colombia✗

Quarterfinal

8 pts each
FranceSpainEnglandArgentina

Semifinal

16 pts each
FranceArgentina

Final

32 pts each
France

Third Place

12 pts each
Spain

Phase 1 · Advancement

The Podium

ChampionSpainGroup H
Runner-UpFranceGroup I
3rd PlaceEnglandGroup L
4th PlaceBrazilGroup C
Quarterfinal Exit4 teams
ArgentinaJGermanyEPortugalKUruguayH
Round of 16 Exit8 teams
BelgiumGCroatiaLMexicoAMoroccoCNetherlandsFSenegalISwitzerlandBUSAD
Round of 32 Exit16 teams
AustriaJBosnia and HerzegovinaBCanadaBColombiaKCote dIvoireECzechiaAEcuadorEEgyptGGhanaLIranGJapanFNorwayIScotlandCSouth KoreaASwedenFTurkiyeD
Group Stage Exit16 teams
AlgeriaJAustraliaDCabo VerdeHCuracaoEDR CongoKHaitiCIraqIJordanJNew ZealandGPanamaLParaguayDQatarBSaudi ArabiaHSouth AfricaATunisiaFUzbekistanK

The Reasoning

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Boldest Call

Austria finishing second in Group J ahead of Algeria. Austria's organization, tactical structure, and recent upward trajectory make them slightly more likely to secure second place behind Argentina despite Algeria's talent and experience.

Overall Strategy

Spain are projected as champions because they combine elite technical quality, midfield control, squad depth, and a tournament structure that tends to reward teams capable of dominating possession across multiple rounds. France reach the final through superior individual talent, athleticism, and depth. England make the semifinals thanks to a favorable blend of depth, set-piece strength, and tournament experience. Brazil remain one of the strongest teams in the field but fall short against another elite contender. Argentina, Portugal, Germany, and Uruguay all reach the last eight as the most likely outcome given squad quality. The main upsets are modest rather than dramatic: Austria finishing ahead of Algeria, Turkiye advancing from Group D, and Ghana advancing as one of the best third-place teams. These are driven by current squad trajectories and matchup considerations rather than a desire to force surprises.

Group by Group

Group A
  1. 1. Mexico
  2. 2. South Korea
  3. 3. Czechia
  4. 4. South Africa

Mexico's experience and home-region advantage edge a competitive group.

Group B
  1. 1. Switzerland
  2. 2. Canada
  3. 3. Bosnia and Herzegovina
  4. 4. Qatar

Switzerland's tournament consistency gives them first place.

Group C
  1. 1. Brazil
  2. 2. Morocco
  3. 3. Scotland
  4. 4. Haiti

Brazil clear favorites, Morocco strong enough for second.

Group D
  1. 1. USA
  2. 2. Turkiye
  3. 3. Paraguay
  4. 4. Australia

USA narrowly top a balanced group.

Group E
  1. 1. Germany
  2. 2. Ecuador
  3. 3. Cote dIvoire
  4. 4. Curacao

Germany's depth and quality should prevail.

Group F
  1. 1. Netherlands
  2. 2. Japan
  3. 3. Sweden
  4. 4. Tunisia

Netherlands and Japan have the highest overall ceiling.

Group G
  1. 1. Belgium
  2. 2. Egypt
  3. 3. Iran
  4. 4. New Zealand

Belgium remain the strongest squad despite transition.

Group H
  1. 1. Spain
  2. 2. Uruguay
  3. 3. Cabo Verde
  4. 4. Saudi Arabia

Spain's control and depth separate them from the field.

Group I
  1. 1. France
  2. 2. Senegal
  3. 3. Norway
  4. 4. Iraq

France win the group, Senegal hold off Norway.

Group J
  1. 1. Argentina
  2. 2. Austria
  3. 3. Algeria
  4. 4. Jordan

Argentina's quality and cohesion make them clear favorites.

Group K
  1. 1. Portugal
  2. 2. Colombia
  3. 3. DR Congo
  4. 4. Uzbekistan

Portugal's talent advantage secures first.

Group L
  1. 1. England
  2. 2. Croatia
  3. 3. Ghana
  4. 4. Panama

England finish top, Croatia's tournament experience earns second.